Monday, December 30, 2019

Principles of Ozymandias Economics


The economy that invests for long term growth across many sectors involved in stable, tangible necessities will always outperform the economy that gambles on the few, seeking only to achieve high short-term profits on intangible luxuries.

That is the sole underlying principle of Ozymandias Economics, named after the fictional king Ozymandias whose intangible empire crumbled to dust, leaving only the creations of his subjects intact after a thousand years.

The sonnets themselves tell a simple message: nothing lasts. Yet the mindset to take here with Ozymandias Economics is not to last forever, but to last longer than everyone else. At some point in time we will die, but that does not mean the legacies left behind must as well. The goal here in following this simple principle of establishing a financial legacy carries with it the financial success of one's own future.

Of course, that is not to say to wait beyond your own lifetime to become wealthy. What the principle suggests is that by looking to achieve the absolute best in the future, you can expect to fall at least half of your own goal. Take a test for example: if you plan to ace the exam, you can expect to pass it. If you only plan to pass the exam, expect to not. And indeed if you do not plan at all, you plan to fail.

1. Aim for the Long Term
Set high goals so that the possibility of absolute failure is never an outcome. If you need $1 million to retire, aim for $10 million. If you want $10 million, make for a $100 million. Expect to fail at the impossible, yet by working toward that goal even at 10%, you have already succeeded in life. Strive for the long term gains, and avoid narrowing your goals to the short term at the bare minimum.

2. Expand and Grow
Spread your assets across multiple sources. Be diverse and outreaching. Do not depend solely on the outcome of a single success. This applies to nearly everything, whether it be your education, your income, or your investments.

In your life, keep learning new things and expand your interests and knowledge into other avenues. Do not stay stagnant in a single field of education. A jack-of-all-trades will always be useful to someone. A specialist will only be useful to one.

In your work, find means to be of use to many people with as much time as you can spare. Do not depend on a single line of work for your sole income. A hustler will always find ways to make more money. An employee will only be tied to one. 

In your investments, diversify across multiple assets. Real estate, stocks, bonds... there are many options to consider, and becoming an owner of many assets will shield oneself from the drawbacks of a single one. Do not invest solely on a single asset, for although the gains may be plenty, the losses are also amplified. It is better to keep some of your money than to lose it all. A diversified portfolio will always have other assets to support each other. A single asset has none.

3. Be Practical, Be Realistic, Be Useful
There is no real gains to be had for something that is of no use to anyone. And there is no future gains to be had for something that is only useful once. Find and build upon assets that will always have use to as many people as possible for as long as possible.

People will always need a place to work and live. People will always need food to eat, water to drink, and clothes to wear. Basic necessities that will always be in demand regardless of what happens in the world. Luxuries and conveniences won't.

There is a reason why many of the world's richest also happen to own assets that a vast majority of people use. They've ingrained themselves and their work as a necessity to society, and as a result built a fortune on the people that needed them. What practical value you bring to society dictates what value society will give to you.

Bring great value to as many people as possible, and likewise invest in those that bring great value to many others as well. Avoid luxuries in your assets, especially those that are niche and unique. Not everyone will find use for a yacht or private jet, but just about everyone will need energy to power machines.

4. Build Your Empire
A ruler is nothing without a people to rule. Likewise, you cannot build your financial empire without recruiting capital to your cause. Whether it be other people, things you own, or plain money, making good use of your capital to create and maintain assets is key to building the foundations of your empire. Leverage your time and money upfront to start working for you now so that you may become money's master, not its slave. Start a business so that you may eventually leverage the time of others to run the business for you. Invest in businesses or governments through the purchase of stocks and bonds so that they may work on your behalf to earn your share of the profits.

Automation is the idea. The automation of your money-making empire. This is known as Passive Income, where everything is working hard for you instead of you working hard for it. This is true for the world as it is for your own financial success. History has always pushed towards greater automation in society, and the more parts of society becomes automated, the greater the benefit to humanity as more people are free to do as they please.

Likewise, you too must automate your life for your own benefit. Become the ruler by properly ruling over the subjects you possess, and always seek to expand. Do not become stagnant and let your empire wither away by neglecting your duties to your financial subjects. Pay off debt, acquire more capital, expand your monetary reach and automate. And most importantly, do not abuse your subjects by spending lavishly. You are only sacrificing them to satiate a momentary hunger. Be humble and well-intentioned as all good rulers do, and you will leave behind a great legacy for generations to come.

Avoid the fate of Ozymandias and his empire. Heed the principles of Ozymandias Economics and understand the simple truth that although nothing lasts, there is nothing stopping us from trying.


Sunday, December 29, 2019

M1 Finance Portfolio: Dividend Aristocrats 2019 - Week 11 (December 27th, 2019 - $225.45)

Week 11 - $225.45

A shorter trading week due to Christmas holidays experienced slights gains despite some pullback during the shortened Christmas Eve trading session on Tuesday.

Total Report (Since October 11th, 2019)


Positive Performing Sectors
1. Consumer Discretionary (+11.07%)
2. Healthcare (+9.84%)
3. Industrials (+9.64%)
4. Materials (+6.40%)
5. Consumer Staples (+5.84%)
6. Information Technology (+5.45%)
7. Communication Services (+4.71%)
8. Energy (+3.68%)
9. Financials (+0.97%)
10. Utilities (+0.13%)

Negative Performing Sectors
11. Real Estate (-5.64%)

Weekly Report (December 27th, 2019)




Positive Performing Sectors
1. Real Estate (+0.87%)
2. Consumer Staples (+0.79%)
3. Consumer Discretionary (+0.76%)
4. Financials (+0.51%)
5. Information Technology (+0.46%)
6. Communication Services (+0.40%)
7. Utilities (+0.20%)

Negative Performing Sectors
8. Materials (0.00%)
9. Industrials (-0.05%)
10. Healthcare (-0.15%)
11. Energy (-0.35%)

GICS Sector Performance Ratio - Balanced: From 8:3 (72.73%) to 7:4 (63.64%)


Review

This week marks the last update for the Dividend Aristocrats portfolio in 2019. While it may had only begun during the last quarter, missing out on some of the extraordinary gains made throughout the year, the portfolio nevertheless made significant progress in earnings. At $7, the Dividend Aristocrats nearly made the $10 back from the weekly deposits, and will be expected to hit that target by the first quarter of next year with equity and dividends. There are some concerns of a recession looming on the horizon, but as the traditional signs of a recession failed to materialize this year, it is more likely 2020 will continue the rate of growth seem this year. Construction is one of these major indicators, and that has not been slowing down at all this year despite losses in the Real Estate sector. Such losses have come as a result of a shortage in housing, and not a surplus. Shortages signal greater demand, and thus opportunities for expansion. Surpluses indicate wasted resources, and excess surplus in an economy is never a good sign. Resources must be efficiently allocated to where it is needed most, and allocating work to where there is no value hurts the economy in the long run. Thus far, the United States have proven to become more resilient to wasteful abundance and more adept at finding high productivity in key sectors as the country continues its longest Bull Market in its history. If a recession does happen, people will be more prepared to handle such dips as and higher accessibility to capital and better understanding of personal finances keep bad economics in check.

Last Week's Update (December 20th, 2019)
M1 Finance Platform Referral Link: https://m1.finance/UIl_N9XNA_CO
M1 Finance Dividend Aristocrats 2019 Pie: https://m1.finance/quB1JH2k6


Sunday, December 22, 2019

M1 Finance Portfolio: Dividend Aristocrats 2019 - Week 10 (December 20th, 2019 - $214.18)

Week 10 - $214.18

The market steadily accrued gains throughout the entire week as the year comes to a close on the longest bull run in US history.

Total Report (Since October 11th, 2019)


Positive Performing Sectors
 1. Consumer Discretionary (+10.50%)
2. Healthcare (+9.98%)
3. Industrials (+9.27%)
4. Materials (+6.45%)
5. Information Technology (+5.84%)
6. Consumer Staples (+4.96%)
7. Communication Services (+4.57%)
8. Energy (+3.59%)
9. Utilities (+1.17%)
10. Financials (+0.93%)

Negative Performing Sectors
11. Real Estate (-6.80%)

Weekly Report (December 20th, 2019)




Positive Performing Sectors
 1. Utilities (+2.72%)
2. Information Technology (+1.49%)
3. Communication Services (+1.43%)
4. Materials (+1.42%)
5. Industrials (+1.04%)
6. Consumer Discretionary (+1.02%)
7. Consumer Staples (+0.73%)
8. Energy (+0.16%)

Negative Performing Sectors
9. Healthcare (-0.05%)
10. Financials (-0.38%)
11. Real Estate (-0.95%)

Added the GSPR Chart, which tracks the current trend of balanced sector performance for the Dividend Aristocrats portfolio. 

GICS Sector Performance Ratio - Balanced: From 6:5 (54.54%) to 8:3 (73.74%)



Review

Despite stock market fears of an impending recession in 2019, sector performance have been staying significantly above the fifty-percent for the past ten weeks, with the GSPR-B trend line expected to continue rising upwards as more sectors consistently move out of negative performance. 2020 will be a pivotal year in the longest bull run in US history, as deeper concerns about an impending recession from over-consumption and the subsequent debt bubble grows. Should more people and businesses curb their debts and address obligations to accrue more surpluses in the nation's resource stockpile and more resources be put to productive assets, GSPR-B will likewise reflect such positive performance into next year. That is assuming economic growth is honest in its numbers and not overtly padded as it was during the Great Recession. Resource leakage is a dangerous thing to any economy.

Last Week's Update (December 13th, 2019)
M1 Finance Platform Referral Link: https://m1.finance/UIl_N9XNA_CO
M1 Finance Dividend Aristocrats 2019 Pie: https://m1.finance/quB1JH2k6


Sunday, December 15, 2019

M1 Finance Portfolio: Dividend Aristocrats 2019 - Week 9 (December 13th, 2019 - $202.13)

Week 9 - $202.13

The market fell again for most of the week until the upsurge on Thursday. This was followed by a mixed day on Friday where stocks bounced between positive and negative earnings. 

Total Report (Since October 11th, 2019)





Positive Performing Sectors
1. Healthcare (+9.51%)
2. Consumer Discretionary (+8.75%)
3. Industrials (+7.91%)
4. Materials (+4.69%)
5. Consumer Staples (+3.77%)
6. Information Technology (+3.72%)
7. Energy (+1.92%)
8. Communication Services (+1.55%)
9. Financials (+0.81%)

Negative Performing Sectors
10. Utilities (-3.05%)
11. Real Estate (-6.50%)

Weekly Report (December 13th, 2019)



Positive Performing Sectors
1. Industrials (+1.57%)
2. Utilities (+1.47%)
3. Consumer Discretionary (+0.91%)
4. Healthcare (+0.74%)
5. Communication Services (+0.62%)
6. Information Technology (+0.06%)

Negative Performing Sectors
7. Consumer Staples (0.00%)
8. Energy (-0.06%)
9. Materials (-0.23%)
10. Financials (-0.45%)
11. Real Estate (-3.74%)

"GICS Sector Performance Ratio - Pure" has been changed to the name "GICS Sector Performance Ratio - Balanced" to better reflect the type of measurement taken and removed sector predictions.

GICS Sector Performance Ratio - Balanced: From 11:0 (100.00%) to 6:5 (54.54%)

Review

The stock market remained relatively flat all week long despite the upsurge in stock equity on Thursday in expectation of the Phase One trade deal between the US and China. Reactions were mixed and the reports on increased unemployment signaled the potential for a market correction sometime soon, if not the beginning of a recession. GSPR-B continues to trend positively despite the sector under-performance lately and is expected to stay positive in the foreseeable future. How the stock market reacts to the final details of the Phase One trade deal will determine to what degree does Chinese imports have on the US economy.

M1 Finance Dividend Aristocrats 2019 Pie: https://m1.finance/quB1JH2k6

Sunday, December 8, 2019

M1 Finance Portfolio: Dividend Aristocrats 2019 - Week 8 (December 6th, 2019 - $192.12)

Week 8 - $192.12

Despite the massive market decline in the first two days of the week, the stock market rallied by the end of Friday to recoup the losses and make slight gains overall.

Total Report (Since October 11th, 2019)




Positive Performing Sectors
1. Healthcare (+8.77%)
2. Consumer Discretionary (+7.76%)
3. Industrials (+6.47%)
4. Materials (+5.39%)
5. Information Technology (+4.46%)
6. Consumer Staples (+3.82%)
7. Energy (+2.37%)
8. Communication Services (+1.30%)
9. Financials (+1.15%)

Negative Performing Sectors
10. Real Estate (-2.90%)
11. Utilities (-4.70%)

Weekly Report (December 6th, 2019)



Positive Performing Sectors
1. Financials (+2.20%)
2. Industrials (+2.16%)
3. Consumer Discretionary (+2.06%)
4. Energy (+2.04%)
5. Information Technology (+1.75%)
6. Communication Services (+1.67%)
7. Healthcare (+1.45%)
8. Real Estate (+0.90%)
9. Consumer Staples (+0.82%)
10. Utilities (+0.53%)
11. Materials (+0.30%) 

Negative Performing Sectors
 None 

GICS Sector Performance Ratio - Balanced: From 9:2 (81.82%) to 11:0 (100.00%)

Rising Sectors (Future Sectors Expected to Perform Positively) 
Last Week  (6):
2. Healthcare (+1.15%)
3. Consumer Staples (+1.04%)
4. Materials (+0.95%)
6. Consumer Discretionary (+0.70%)
7. Information Technology (+0.32%)
10. Industrials (-0.13%)

Next Week (8):
1. Financials (+2.20%)
2. Industrials (+2.16%)
3. Consumer Discretionary (+2.06%)4. Energy (+2.04%)
5. Information Technology (+1.75%)
7. Healthcare (+1.45%)
9. Consumer Staples (+0.82%)
11. Materials (+0.30%)  

Falling Sectors (Future Sectors Expected to Perform Negatively)
Last Week (2):
1. Real Estate (+1.26%)
5. Utilities (+0.95%)

Next Week (2):
8. Real Estate (+0.90%)
10. Utilities (+0.53%)

Uncertain Sectors (Future Sectors Expected to Perform Uncertainly)
Last Week (2):
9. Financials (+0.25%)
11. Energy (-1.07%) 

Next Week (0):
None

Stagnant Sectors (Future Sectors Expected to Perform As Current)
Last Week (1):
8. Communication Services (+0.26%) 

Next Week (1):
6. Communication Services (+1.67%) 

Review

This week is the first time the GSPR for the Dividend Aristocrats 2019 portfolio has hit one-hundred percent. This indicates an extremely robust economy as it is very difficult to achieve one-hundred percent positive performance in all sectors and maintain it. Much of the fluctuations this week stemmed from concerns surrounding the US-China trade war, however it wasn't progress on the trade war that ultimately drove the markets up but the jobs report for November. Considering the US has been in a trade war with China for over two years, the fact that the economy is still growing illustrates the self-reliable nature of the US economy, and that it is in a unique position in the world to support its own endeavors without the need for international trade. Future downturns at this current trend will become less impactful overtime as domestic sectors become better established in their own environment. It would be wise to note however that the current stock valuations are still notably caused by the expectation that global trade will resume. There will be a correction when this is not the case. However as more trade wars are incurred internationally, if the US market still continues to post positive performance, then it would be time to double down on US investments. Only a strong domestic economy can continue to perform positively when international trade is cut off.
M1 Finance Platform Referral Link: https://m1.finance/UIl_N9XNA_CO
M1 Finance Dividend Aristocrats 2019 Pie: https://m1.finance/quB1JH2k6

Sunday, December 1, 2019

M1 Finance Portfolio: Dividend Aristocrats 2019 - Week 7 (November 29th, 2019 - $181.44)

Week 7 -  $181.44

The week saw significant gains in the first few days leading up to Thanksgiving, recovering losses suffered from the drop experienced last week and earning a few more, while Black Friday garnered some losses of its own, although not enough to offset the past few days' earnings.


Total Report (Since October 11th, 2019)



Positive Performing Sectors
1. Healthcare (+8.47%)
2. Consumer Discretionary (+7.35%)
3. Industrials (+6.95%)
4. Materials (+5.17%)
5. Information Technology (+5.16%)
6. Consumer Staples (+2.65%)
7. Financials (+1.67%)
8. Energy (+0.71%)

Negative Performing Sectors
9. Communication Services (-1.51%)
10. Real Estate (-2.70%)
11. Utilities (-4.74%)

 Weekly Report (November 29th, 2019)




Positive Performing Sectors
1. Real Estate (+1.26%)
2. Healthcare (+1.15%)
3. Consumer Staples (+1.04%)
4. Materials (+0.95%)
5. Utilities (+0.95%)
6. Consumer Discretionary (+0.70%)
7. Information Technology (+0.32%)
8. Communication Services (+0.26%)
9. Financials (+0.25%)

Negative Performing Sectors
10. Industrials (-0.13%)
11. Energy (-1.07%)

GICS Sector Performance Ratio - Balanced: From 4:7 (36.36%) to 9:2 (81.82%)

Rising Sectors (Future Sectors Expected to Perform Positively) 
Last Week  (5):
1. Consumer Discretionary (+1.68%)
2. Energy (+0.68%)
3. Healthcare (+0.13%)
4. Industrials (+0.07%)
6. Information Technology (-0.60%)

Next Week (6):
2. Healthcare (+1.15%)
3. Consumer Staples (+1.04%)
4. Materials (+0.95%)
6. Consumer Discretionary (+0.70%)
7. Information Technology (+0.32%)
10. Industrials (-0.13%)
 
Falling Sectors (Future Sectors Expected to Perform Negatively)
Last Week (2):
8. Real Estate (-1.13%)
9. Utilities (-1.46%)

Next Week (2):
1. Real Estate (+1.26%)
5. Utilities (+0.95%)

Uncertain Sectors (Future Sectors Expected to Perform Uncertainly)
Last Week (3):
5. Consumer Staples (-0.18%)
7. Financials (-0.74%)
10. Materials (-2.13%)

Next Week (2):
9. Financials (+0.25%)
11. Energy (-1.07%)

Stagnant Sectors (Future Sectors Expected to Perform As Current)
Last Week (1):
11. Communication Services (-4.62%)

Next Week (1):
8. Communication Services (+0.26%)

Review

Despite the shortened trading week, the Dividend Aristocrats performed significantly positive considering the sudden performance drop suffered last week. The gains this week was enough to push the GSPR trend line back upwards and upgrade Consumer Staples from an Uncertain to Rising Sector. Communication Services still remain as a Stagnant Sector, as the gains made this week only barely pushed its performance into positive territory, and given its lackluster performance in a generally positive performing week, it could expect to be downgraded to a Falling Sector soon. Since the start of the Dividend Aristocrats 2019 portfolio, it has generally performed positively despite the dramatic fluctuations between weeks, and it could be expected that it will end the year staying positive.

M1 Finance Platform Referral Link: https://m1.finance/UIl_N9XNA_CO
M1 Finance Dividend Aristocrats 2019 Pie: https://m1.finance/quB1JH2k6

M1 Finance Portfolio: Dividend Aristocrats 2020 - Week 52 (October 9th, 2020 - $1,054.99)

Week 52 - $1,054.99 Total Report (Since October 11th, 2019) Weekly Report (October 9th, 2020) GICS Sector Performance Rati...